Description

This analysis provides a forecast of IMX10603 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 0.313844 0.338763 0.365406 0.396130 0.430726 0.468647 0.513591
2025-11-16 0.266679 0.300930 0.340035 0.388468 0.447525 0.518112 0.610293
2025-11-23 0.238829 0.277410 0.323416 0.383261 0.460506 0.558996 0.697813
2025-11-30 0.223835 0.266176 0.318504 0.389460 0.485702 0.615793 0.812836
2025-12-07 0.209056 0.253172 0.309245 0.387851 0.498907 0.656639 0.911198
2025-12-14 0.196852 0.242096 0.300998 0.385991 0.510502 0.695512 1.012556
2025-12-21 0.184056 0.229103 0.288865 0.377117 0.510274 0.715720 1.086437
2025-12-28 0.178751 0.225619 0.289173 0.385622 0.536398 0.780054 1.249556
2026-01-04 0.172905 0.220887 0.287208 0.390316 0.556744 0.837461 1.413534
2026-01-11 0.166408 0.214768 0.282712 0.390571 0.569629 0.883493 1.566418
2026-01-18 0.158561 0.206255 0.274114 0.383609 0.569477 0.905565 1.673373
2026-01-25 0.150238 0.196623 0.263271 0.372198 0.560399 0.909342 1.739289
2026-02-01 0.143315 0.188875 0.255078 0.364895 0.558597 0.928584 1.852819
2026-02-08 0.137304 0.182214 0.248214 0.359345 0.559550 0.953959 1.992199
2026-02-15 0.132017 0.176362 0.242241 0.354782 0.561753 0.982201 2.149935
2026-02-22 0.129465 0.174461 0.242262 0.360332 0.583580 1.056613 2.474535
2026-03-01 0.125558 0.170304 0.238458 0.358894 0.591562 1.101237 2.727758
2026-03-08 0.121878 0.166324 0.234706 0.357231 0.598846 1.145553 3.003962
2026-03-15 0.117158 0.160541 0.227743 0.349291 0.592384 1.154995 3.156154
2026-03-22 0.115847 0.159995 0.229281 0.356901 0.619269 1.254412 3.735782
2026-03-29 0.113943 0.158422 0.229012 0.361098 0.639295 1.340503 4.333808
2026-04-05 0.111413 0.155746 0.226747 0.361326 0.650517 1.404769 4.887570
2026-04-12 0.107873 0.151322 0.221317 0.355101 0.646375 1.423477 5.211099